Три димензија конфликата на Јужном Кавказу: динамике, сличности и разлике
##plugins.pubIds.doi.readerDisplayName##:
https://doi.org/10.54561/prj1802269mКључне речи:
South Caucasus, conflict dynamics, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Abkhazia, South OssetiaСажетак
Истраживање конфликата у различитим деловима света је у исто време веома важно али и сложено. Илустративан пример су тензије на Јужном Кавказу, којима се некада прилази са тенденцијом да се поједноставе избегавајући истраживање трендова који имају дугу историју, или да се повезују са верским тензијама у региону (верски фактор јесте важан, али у посебном значењу). Други проблем су личне предрасуде, које често занемарују веома динамичну реалност у региону. Данашњи сукоби у овом региону нису исти као што су били 1990-тих, а и међународни односи су суштински различити. Овај чланак има за циљ да ревидира постојеће академске перцепције у вези конфликата у Јужном Кавказу и да допринесе новим теоријским и методолошким оквиром. Предлажемо да се конфликт у Јужном Кавказу мора истраживати са фокусом на међусобне утицаје локалног, националног и међународног нивоа, јер се ове три димензије и њихов утицај мења током времена, али никада није без утицаја сва три нивоа.
Референце
Anchabadze, Yuriy D., and Yuriy G. Argun, eds. 2012. Abkhazy [The Abkhaz]. 2nd ed. Moscow: Nauka.
Aydin, Umut. 2021. “Emerging Middle Powers and the Liberal International Order.” International Affairs 97, no. 5: 1377–1394. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiab090
Azar, Edward E. 1990. The Management of Protracted Social Conflict: Theory and Cases. Aldershot, Hampshire: Vt., Dartmouth: Gower Pub. Co.
Pukhov, Ruslan, ed. 2010. The Tanks of August. Moscow: Centre for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies.
Makienko, Konstantin, ed. 2018. V ozhidanii buri: Yuzhnyy Kavkaz [Waiting for the storm: South Caucasus]. Moscow: Centre for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies.
Pukhov, Ruslan, ed. 2021. Burya na Kavkaze [Storm over the Caucasus]. Moscow: Centre for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies.
Bgazhba, Oleg, and Stanislav Lakoba. 2007. Istoriya Abkhazii s drevneyshikh vremen do nashikh dney [History of Abkhazia from ancient times to the present day]. Sukhum. http://apsnyteka.org/106-lakoba_history_of_abkhazia.html
Bishku, Michael B. 2022. “The Status and Limits to Aspirations of Minorities in the South Caucasus States.” Contemporary Review of the Middle East 9, no. 4: 410–425. https://doi.org/10.1177/23477989221115917
Broers, Laurence. 2015. “From ‘Frozen Conflict’ to Enduring Rivalry: Reassessing the Nagorny Karabakh Conflict.” Nationalities Papers 43, no. 4: 556–576. https://doi.org/10.1080/00905992.2015.1042852
Brubaker, Rogers. 1994. “Nationhood and the National Question in the Soviet Union and Post-Soviet Eurasia: An Institutionalist Account.” Theory and Society 23, no. 1: 47–78. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00993673
Brubaker, Rogers. 2006. Ethnicity without Groups. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
Coser, Lewis A. 1961. “The termination of conflict.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 5, no 4: 347–353.
Coser, Lewis A. 1964. The Functions of Social Conflict. New York: Free Press.
Dahrendorf, Ralph. 1958. “Toward a Theory of Social Conflict.” The Journal of Conflict Resolution 2, no. 2: 170–183.
De Waal, Thomas. 2013. Black Garden: Armenia and Azerbaijan through Peace and War. New York: New York University Press.
Deriglazova, Larisa V., and Sergeĭ Minasi︠a︡n. 2011. Nagorno-Karabakh: The Paradoxes of Strength and Weakness in an Asymmetric Conflict. Caucasus Institute Research Papers #3. Yerevan: Caucasus Institute.
Derluguian, Georgi M. 2005. Bourdieu’s Secret Admirer in the Caucasus: A World-System Biography. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Gamakharia, Jemal. 2012. Political History of Abkhazia/Georgia (Brief science information), edited by Nana Kvaratskhelia. Tbilisi: The Supreme Council of Autonomous Republic of Abkhazia.
Golmohammadi, Vali, and Hamidreza Azizi. 2022. “The South Caucasus in the Regionalism of Iran's Foreign Policy.” Central Eurasia Studies 15, no. 1: 281–305. https://doi.org/10.22059/jcep.2022.345811.450084
Heiran‐Nia, Javad, and Mahmood Monshipouri. 2023. “Raisi and Iran’s Foreign Policy Toward the South Caucasus.” The Muslim World 113, no. 1–2: 120–139. https://doi.org/10.1111/muwo.12460
Hopf, Ted. 2006. “Identity, Legitimacy and the Use of Military Force: Russia’s Great Power Identities and Military Intervention in Abkhazia.” In Force and Legitimacy in World Politics, edited by David Armstrong, Theo Farrell, and Bice Maiguashca, 1st ed., 225–244. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511622021.013
Kakachia, Kornely K. 2011. “Challenges to the South Caucasus Regional Security Aftermath of Russian–Georgian Conflict: Hegemonic Stability or New Partnership?” Journal of Eurasian Studies 2, no. 1: 15–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euras.2010.10.005
Kambeck, Michael. 2014. “Between the Big Blocs: Armenian Foreign Policy Untangled.” European View 13, no. 1: 29–38. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12290-014-0298-2
Kazimirov, Vladimir N. 2014. Peace to Karabakh. Russia’s Mediation in the Settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict. Moscow: VES MIR.
King, Charles. 2001. “The Benefits of Ethnic War: Understanding Eurasia’s Unrecognized States.” World Politics 53, no. 4: 524–552. https://doi.org/10.1353/wp.2001.0017
Kolstø, Pål, and Helge Blakkisrud. 2023. “Engaging Without Recognizing? Western Approaches to the Eurasian De Facto States.” Journal of International Analytics 13, no. 4: 58–75. https://doi.org/10.46272/2587-8476-2022-13-4-58-75
Kukhianidze, Alexander. 2012. “Georgia: Conflicts, Crime, and Security.” The Caucasus & Globalization 6, no. 4: 54–62.
Kurt, Selim, and Göktürk Tüysüzoğlu. 2022. “Another Perspective Regarding the 2020 War in Karabakh: The Relationship between a Frozen Conflict and Securitization.” Journal of Eurasian Studies 13, no. 2: 145–55. https://doi.org/10.1177/18793665221096689
Kurt, Selim, and Göktürk Tüysüzoğlu. 2023. “Is Nagorno-Karabakh No Longer a Frozen Conflict Zone after the 2020 War?” International Journal: Canada’s Journal of Global Policy Analysis 78, no. 1–2: 41–59. https://doi.org/10.1177/00207020231179048
Kutlay, Mustafa, and Ziya Öniş. 2021. “Turkish Foreign Policy in a Post-Western Order: Strategic Autonomy or New Forms of Dependence?” International Affairs 97, no. 4: 1085–1104. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiab094
Lakoba, Stanislav. 2001. Abkhaziya – de-fakto ili Gruziya de-yure [Abkhazia de facto or Georgia de jure]?. Sapporo: Slavic Research Center.
Levaggi, Ariel González, and Federico Donelli. 2021. “Turkey’s Changing Engagement with the Global South.” International Affairs 97, no. 4: 1105–1124. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiab093
Lewis, David. 2022. “Contesting Liberal Peace: Russia’s Emerging Model of Conflict Management.” International Affairs 98, no. 2: 653–673. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiab221
Lynch, Dov. 2002. “Separatist States and Post-Soviet Conflicts.” International Affairs 78, no. 4: 831–848. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-2346.00282
Mack, Andrew. 1975. “Why Big Nations Lose Small Wars: The Politics of Asymmetric Conflict.” World Politics 27, no. 2: 175–200.
Mammadli, Rovshan. 2023. “Iran and the Second Karabakh War.” The Muslim World 113, no. 1–2: 140–155. https://doi.org/10.1111/muwo.12453
Markedonov, Sergey M., and Maxim A. Suchkov. 2020. “Russia and the United States in the Caucasus: Cooperation and Competition.” Caucasus Survey 8, no. 2: 179–195. https://doi.org/10.1080/23761199.2020.1732101
Marykhuba, Igor'. 2004. Istoricheskie, gosudarstvenno-pravovye obosnovaniya suvereniteta Abkhazii [Historical, state-legal justifications of the sovereignty of Abkhazia]. Sukhum: SPPA.
Matsuzato, Kimitaka. 2023. “Federalization, Land-for-Peace or a War Once More: Secession Conflicts in Post-Soviet Countries.” Nationalities Papers 52, no. 5: 1100-1120. https://doi.org/10.1017/nps.2023.59
Matsuzato Kimitaka. 2008. “Mezhpravoslavnye otnosheniya i transgranichnye narodnosti vokrug nepriznannykh gosudarstv [Inter-Orthodox relations and cross-border nationalities around unrecognized states].” Slavic Eurasian Studies, no 18: 192–224.
Minasyan, Sergey. 2010. Nagorno-Karabakh after Two Decades of Conflict. Caucasus Institute Research Papers #2, August 2010. Yerevan: Caucasus Institute.
Mooradian, Moorad, and Daniel Druckman. 1999. “Hurting Stalemate or Mediation? The Conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, 1990-95.” Journal of Peace Research 36, no. 6: 709–27. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343399036006007
Nanlohy, Sascha. 2024. “Geopolitics and Genocide: Patron Interests, Client Crises, and Realpolitik.” Journal of Global Security Studies 9, no. 1: 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1093/jogss/ogad023
O’Loughlin, John, Vladimir Kolossov, and Gerard Toal. 2014. “Inside the Post-Soviet de Facto States: A Comparison of Attitudes in Abkhazia, Nagorny Karabakh, South Ossetia, and Transnistria.” Eurasian Geography and Economics 55, no. 5: 423–556. https://doi.org/10.1080/15387216.2015.1012644
Park, Andrus. 1991. “From Perestroika to Cold Civil War: Reflections on the Soviet Disintegration Crisis.” Bulletin of Peace Proposals 22, no. 3: 257–264. https://doi.org/10.1177/096701069102200303
Souleimanov, Emil Aslan. 2017. “The South Caucasus: Turmoil in the Shadow of Russo‐American Relations.” Middle East Policy 24, no. 2: 70–77. https://doi.org/10.1111/mepo.12268
Suny, Ronald Grigor. 2010. “The Pawn of Great Powers: The East–West Competition for Caucasia.” Journal of Eurasian Studies 1, no. 1: 10–25. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euras.2009.11.007
Tishkov, Valery. 1999. “Ethnic Conflicts in The Former USSR: The Use and Misuse of Typologies and Data.” Journal of Peace Research 36, no. 5: 571–591. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343399036005005
Tsallagova, Zarifa B., and Chibirov Lyudvig A., eds. 2023. Osetiny [Ossetians]. 4th ed. Moscow: Nauka.
Tüysüzoğlu, Göktürk. 2014. “How Demand for Security Influence the Shaping of Foreign Policy: Using the Theory of Securitisation to Understand Armenia–Iran Relations.” Journal of Eurasian Studies 5, no. 2: 192–201. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euras.2014.05.008
Wendt, Alexander. 1992. “Anarchy Is What States Make of It: The Social Construction of Power Politics.” International Organization 46, no. 2: 391–425. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818300027764
Yavuz, M. Hakan, and Vasif Huseynov. 2020. “The Second Karabakh War: Russia vs. Turkey?” Middle East Policy 27, no. 4: 103–118. https://doi.org/10.1111/mepo.12529
##submission.downloads##
Објављено
Како цитирати
Bрој часописа
Секција
Лиценца
Сва права задржана (c) 2024 Политикологија религије
Овај рад је под Creative Commons Aуторство-Nекомерцијално-Дели под истим условима 4.0 Интернационална лиценца.
